Another day, another poll. This one is a Fox News poll that shows the race tied 46-46 in the popular vote. But if you look at independents Romney is leading 46-39, a spread of 7 points. Of course the poll is stacked with Democrats (a +5 advantage). Again it's all going to depend on what the real turnout is but it doesn't look good for President Oblahblah. Early voting analysis so far indicates that if Romney isn't actually winning the early vote that he's far, far ahead of where McCain was four years ago. Gaps from four years ago are being closed if not surpassed in almost every major demographic.