Shocker, Stunner, Surprise! How the media is destroying its own credibility.
The mainstream media has been writing its own obituary for years now. We who observe Cuba very closely have documented how the press has made a Faustian bargain with the castro regime, surrendering its independence for "access". Any reasonable person would ask, "if they can't report what's really going on, what are they doing there?"
Despite the fact that I have friends and family that work in the mainstream media I've come to the conclusion that most of the industry is biased and dumb. As Bernard Goldberg has documented in his great books, the media is a herd of lemmings that follows the New York Times and Washington post. That's why we get such a uniform view of the world from most of the media and why alternatives such as the conservative internet and Fox News have been so successful.
All of the media is trumpeting this election as very close. That's the story of the day and they keep repeating it. I'm not so sure. I went out on a limb about a month ago and predicted a 5-7 point popular vote win for Mitt Romney. I'm still convinced that Romney will win by a sizeable margin. I have documented how the polls are showing this race as very close despite the fact that Romney is winning independents in those polls by great margins. My thesis is that with that kind of lead among independents, Obama needs an incredible turnout among Democratic partisans to win, a turnout he's unlikely to get.
There's a lot of reason to think that many Obama voters from 2008 will switch to Romney this time around, one of which is the newspaper endorsements that Romney has garnered. Now I don't think newspaper endorsements amount to anything in terms of votes but I'd argue that it would by hard to find a more liberal cross-section of America than the combined membership of editorial boards of the country's newspapers. I've documented how many of them have jumped off the Obama bandwagon and the New York Daily News and Newsday are just the latest. If people of their political stripe are jumping ship imagine how many ordinary voters have had enough of this president.
If I'm wrong, critics of this blog will laugh and point fingers at me. Fine, I'm willing to put up with that. But what if I'm right and Romney wins a decisive victory? How will the media cover it?
I expect that they will bill it as a "huge surprise." Bold headlines will proclaim how Romney pulled off a "stunning" surprise victory. Of course it will be surprising to the journalists because they haven't been objectively looking at the facts. They've been living in their bubble, unquestioningly listening to their soothsayers like Nate Silver.
But it won't really be a surprise. Gas is at $4 a gallon. Officially unemployment is just under 8% and the underemployment numbers are far, far worse. We've added more than $5 trillion in debt in the last four years. Real median household income is down. Thousands of weapons were allowed to go to drug cartels which caused a bloodbath along the border, killing a border patrol agent and there's been no accountability. Iran is four years closer to being a nuclear power. The greater middle east is in flames and our Ambassador to Libya, along with three other Americans, is dead with no explanations as to how this could have happened beyond blaming the creator of a supposedly offensive YouTube video. Even the president's signature accomplishment, Obamacare was and remains unpopular with a majority of Americans.
The ONLY reason the polls look close is because the pollsters are getting substantially more responses from Democrats than Republicans, Democratic response rates that exceed even the high water mark of the 2008 election. I trust the polling industry to lick its wounds and make corrections to better forecast next time around. But what of the news media that clung to those polls to the exclusion of every other piece of evidence including the abandonment of Obama by many of their own editorial colleagues? They won't be so eager to learn from their mistakes.
The earth is moving under our feet and the news industry will be the last to know. So when you see those headlines about the "shocker" on Wednesday morning you'll know that they are just more words in the obituary of the country's liberal media.