What I thought was inevitable, the nomination of Hillary Clinton by Democrats, now seems unlikely. Obama wins several contests tonight and will probably sweep Tuesday’s “Potomac Primaries”. Clinton’s campaign is in financial trouble and those high-value politicians that endorsed her haven’t delivered the number of states and delegates necessary to win.
There is still the matter of the Super Delegates, elected politicians and party leaders who gain automatic entrance to the Democratic convention Denver, they aren’t committed to any candidate though it was widely believed that Clinton had the support of the majority. But if Obama goes into the convention with more regular delegates it will be hard for these Super Delegates to go against them, especially to spoil the nomination of the first serious black candidate for president. Ding, dong the witch is dead.
Not that that helps Republicans at all because Obama has higher favorables and lower negatives than Clinton.
Real Clear Politics is putting the odds of an Obama nomination at better than 60%.
So we have a 71 year old white man that has been in congress for close to three decades vs. a 46 year old black man who’s been in the Senate for 3 years. Whatever you want to say about McCain, he’s not an inspiring speaker. Obama on the other hand is quite the orator. This is going to be a campaign of contrasts in styles, if not in policies.
53 thoughts on “Obama will win the Democrat nomination”
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If Obama gets the nomination then I think it would be darn safe to say that he will be the next president of the US of A. No way does McLame stand a chance against Obama. McLame’s only hope to win was for Hillary to get the nomination; this in turn should have inspired the anti-Hillary voters to come out strong against her in the general. Obama doesn’t rave up the type of intense opposition to him that Hillary could inspire towards her. I believe a strong section of the conservative movement will sit this election out or vote third party or something. So I would say if Obama is the nominee, then I would say to say hello to the next president of the US of A.
YES! There’s justice in this world!!!! (I Hope) Keep on reading you guys!
Rafael Martel lo dijo
Penultimos dias lo dijo
I wrote an earlier post declaring MC Cain vs Obama will be the contest in Nov …
Big mac has no chance whatsoever vs Obama …We need to move quick to let Obama know how we cubans feel in regards to Cuba..that should be our work, our lobby
but we must be careful, Joe Garcia is waiting in the wings to advise Obama..ouch….
Don’t forget the delegates from Florida and Michigan. Hillary, alone, kept her name on the Michigan ballot, and Hillary, alone, campaigned in Florida – although she called it a fundraiser – to win here. She’s already indicated she will work to get those delegates seated, and if she needs them, the powers that be may allow them to be seated as a way to take the heat off of themselves.
This fight has a long way to go. But I agree that McCain is toast. In Jacksonville, where McCain used to live, and where his former wife lived while he was in prison, he finished with the 4th most delegates – far behind Obama and Romney, and close behind Hillary. And as for Obama, while Jacksonville has a reasonably large black population, it’s still only 27% of the registered Democrats. I think Obama’s showing here is more a function of youth of the city (median age 34 – far different than most of Florida) than race.
He will lose to Obama if conservatives will stay at home rather not to vote McCain. If McCain loses to Dems because of this reason, than I think conservatives will deserve 4 years of Obama, who will travel to Cuba to shake hands with Fidel, go to Teheran, Damascus, Pyonyang, Khartoum , etc..I would say: Wake up, conservatives!
“He will lose to Obama if conservatives will stay at home rather not to vote McCain. If McCain loses to Dems because of this reason, than I think conservatives will deserve 4 years of Obama, who will travel to Cuba to shake hands with Fidel, go to Teheran, Damascus, Pyonyang, Khartoum , etc..I would say: Wake up, conservatives!”
DARN RIGHT STEFANIA!
I feel the same… Even if he wasn’t our favorite, we have to suck it up!
So conservatives have to come save the day and clean up the mess that others in the party have made? Explain to me exactly how that works.
So conservatives have to come save the day and clean up the mess that others in the party have made? Explain to me exactly how that works.
Paxety,
I don’t think there’s any way the Democrats can count the delegates from Florida and Michigan. If Hillary wins the nomination and it appears to be the result of unfair play the black support of the party will be demoralized. They would need to have some sort of caucuses in both states and to date Obama has shown a better organization for caucuses.
Paxety,
I don’t think there’s any way the Democrats can count the delegates from Florida and Michigan. If Hillary wins the nomination and it appears to be the result of unfair play the black support of the party will be demoralized. They would need to have some sort of caucuses in both states and to date Obama has shown a better organization for caucuses.
The Clinton/Soros machine was put together assuming Clinton would win the nomination, and that if Clinton in turn wins the Presidency, Clinton would owe various elements of the machine various favors and White House access. They didn’t make these deals with Obama, and Obama may be freer to tell these guys, “I don’t know who you are, but I promised xyz favor to someone else!”
The money, the favors, the media relations, are all centered around Hillary. The machine may not go all out to benefit Obama.
RS,
I agree with you. That is also what is most frightening about the Hillary machine. This race if fascinating because I don’t think Hill/Bill imagined they would have a fight within their own party. I still think “there will be hell to pay” for all those that didn’t support them, if they can still pull off the nomination. The Clintons have a history of obliterating anyone they presume to be against them. Hillary ran a “war room” on the “bimbo eruptions” and set out to find any and all dirt she could on these women using the services of private investigator, Terry Lenzer. Hence, the presumption that Hillary has files on everyone in Congress. Remember also, the FBI file scandal. That, in itself will be something to watch for.
Seems I’m going to join a certain rEVOLution.
Who’s with me? Who wouldn’t want to see a debate between Barrack Hussein Obama and Ron Paul?
Ron Paul would totally overcome Warmonger McLame, Christian Extemist Suckabee, Socialist Hill~Billy, and Cheney’s Cousin The Rock Obama
Paul says we need to get back to the ideas of the founding fathers and I agree but If France had subscribed to the isolationist philosophy that Ron Paul espouses, back in the 1770s, we’d all be singing “God Save the Queen.”
Something to consider.
Paul says we need to get back to the ideas of the founding fathers and I agree but If France had subscribed to the isolationist philosophy that Ron Paul espouses, back in the 1770s, we’d all be singing “God Save the Queen.”
Something to consider.
He’s not an isolationalist he keeps saying it over and over. Believe me I thought that too.
Foreign Policy is simply. We can countinue trades, but ultimately dont side with anyone. If anyone tries to fuck us over invasion-wise, we’ll be waiting with big fucking guns.
Who is Ron Paul? I know a guy in my bakery who works in the kitchen with that name… Is that the guy you are talking about, please
besides we can destroy whole countries without weapons, but economically. Soviet Union ring a bell?
I’d say the Soviet Union destroyed itself with its backward economic policies.
And France could have said, “it’s not our war” and stayed out. The perfect Ron Paul foreign policy. Like I said we’d be eating kippers and spotted dick.
I’d say the Soviet Union destroyed itself with its backward economic policies.
And France could have said, “it’s not our war” and stayed out. The perfect Ron Paul foreign policy. Like I said we’d be eating kippers and spotted dick.
IMHO, the stratight talk express it’s showing it’s age. You are witnessing the passing of the guard. McCain and Hillary appeal is to older americans.
Obama represents ethnic diversity, multiculaturism, this is today’s america. Obama, son of an immigrant, half black, half white raised by a single white mother. A democrat that is not affraid to say nice things about ronald reagan, whose rhetoric is not divisive. A young black man that’s not angry.
Today’s youth are not hung up on race, they are more worried about the economy, their college tuitions, a war that’s bankrupting the country, paying into social security system that they will never see, jobs. The straight talk express is not connecting with this voters. A bus that’s going nowhere.
Cogy also busH did not help the cause, the war in Iraq, the twin Towers terrorist attack , Afganistan ..todos esos problemas aun no resueltos , osama on the loose , iraq not secure, not enough funds for soldiers and vets, unemployment, people loosing their houses, congress and bush with low ratings
people want change and Obama has position himself as the only one that can bring precisely that UN CAMBIO A TODO LO OTRO that is not working now
That’s ridiculous. If the war in Iraq were the issue Bush wouldn’t have been re-elected in 2004. Bush didn’t crash planes into the world trade center. Unemployment is still at rate that’s close to historical full employment (besides the president can’t control business cycles). If you haven’t checked the news from Iraq lately, the surge is working.
Do you think that John Kerry would have been better?
Change for the sake of change is dangerous.
That’s ridiculous. If the war in Iraq were the issue Bush wouldn’t have been re-elected in 2004. Bush didn’t crash planes into the world trade center. Unemployment is still at rate that’s close to historical full employment (besides the president can’t control business cycles). If you haven’t checked the news from Iraq lately, the surge is working.
Do you think that John Kerry would have been better?
Change for the sake of change is dangerous.
Henry, i think obama’s idea of change is about new ideas, about hope, about unity. it might be naive or quixotic but nevertheless it’s inspiring. reminds me of reagan shiny city on hill speeches, that’s was all about hope, the possibility of a better day.
by the way i’m not trying to push obama just opining, right now he’s got my attention.
According to WOKV radio here, the Dems are already considering an early March caucus to get the delegates seated. Obama has shown a great deal of strength in caucuses
Trouble is, Hillary has already won Florida. I can’t see her agreeing to another delegate selection process. After all, it’s all about her. Did what Bill had to say before the South Carolina primary give any indication that he cares what black voters think? I think not.
While the writers’ strike may be about over, the Screen Actors Guild is threatening to go on strike in the early summer. Looks like we’ll have something interesting to watch on TV rather than the same, useless drivel.
Henry, i think obama’s idea of change is about new ideas, about hope, about unity. it might be naive or quixotic but nevertheless it’s inspiring. reminds me of reagan shiny city on hill speeches, that’s was all about hope, the possibility of a better day
Reagan, when he was elected President, had strong, well-thought-out ideas that he developed over many years of study and debate. He had a substantial and successful record as California governor, in business and in the military. Obama has mainly platitudes and failed ideas from the 1960s. He has a brief and undistinguished record as a legislator. He shows little evidence of having read widely or even of having a basic knowledge of history. He gives good speeches, though. I hope he doesn’t get elected. However, I don’t think it’s at all clear that he would beat McCain.
corgiguy, I agree that’s what the message is but the policies beneath those messages are not new. They are the same old liberal big government solutions to problems. It’s higher taxes, more government interference in the markets such as healthcare etc. I’d rather have the status quo than those changes. Flowery oratory is nice but as Jonathan points out, it has to be backed with ideas and policies that work, not those which have been tried and shown to be failures.
corgiguy, I agree that’s what the message is but the policies beneath those messages are not new. They are the same old liberal big government solutions to problems. It’s higher taxes, more government interference in the markets such as healthcare etc. I’d rather have the status quo than those changes. Flowery oratory is nice but as Jonathan points out, it has to be backed with ideas and policies that work, not those which have been tried and shown to be failures.
Jonathan, mr obama graduated magna cum laude, from Harvard Law School in 1991, first African-American president of the Harvard Law Review. Don’t they teach history at harvard?
Obama elected= a Carter term without a GA accent.
Anybody but Hillary. Anybody.
henry, the voters will decide on november what type of government they want. my expectations are low when it comes to politicians and what they have to offer and their will to resolve fix our country’s problems. if obama can bring us together into kumbaya why not.
No, corgiguy they won’t be deciding on what type of government they want because Obama isn’t going to campaign by giving the gory details about how much his socialized healthcare plan is going to cost and how much he’s going to have to increase taxes (and decrease our take-home pay) to pay for it. He’s not going to talk about how he will allow the castro regime to abuse him like it abused every democratic administration before his. Unfortunately the American people don’t really pay close attention to politics and are easily sold on the emotional arguments put forward by libs. It takes logic and reason to see conservative arguments. It’s much easier to be a liberal.
No, corgiguy they won’t be deciding on what type of government they want because Obama isn’t going to campaign by giving the gory details about how much his socialized healthcare plan is going to cost and how much he’s going to have to increase taxes (and decrease our take-home pay) to pay for it. He’s not going to talk about how he will allow the castro regime to abuse him like it abused every democratic administration before his. Unfortunately the American people don’t really pay close attention to politics and are easily sold on the emotional arguments put forward by libs. It takes logic and reason to see conservative arguments. It’s much easier to be a liberal.
Henry, i don’t know about there where you live, but no one is forcing me to vote for one candidate over the other. If i don’t do my homework, then i deserve the government i voted for. Liberal vs Conservative, el mismo perro con differente collar!
I don’t understand your statement. Of course nobody forces anyone to vote for anyone. I’m simply observing that people might make different choices if they paid more attention and didn’t fall pray to demagoguery and fairy tales and populist rhetoric.
I don’t understand your statement. Of course nobody forces anyone to vote for anyone. I’m simply observing that people might make different choices if they paid more attention and didn’t fall pray to demagoguery and fairy tales and populist rhetoric.
The Demsocialits future for America: Pack people into barracks like warehouses, feed them coupons for carbs exchanged at Arkansas based Walmart, gov run VA like clinics to treat them for diabetis and blood pressure they are so fat from the junk they now depend on the quacks running the health system and WALLA! Here we are again in New Orleans waiting for the gov to save our fat asses.
Henry, what i meant is on november we will decide what kind of goverment we want, nobody is forcing us to vote for obama or mccain. I agree with you most americans vote on style vs substance, so we deserve the goverment we vote for, that’s Democracy.
A truthfull Politician you are dreaming. They all have to pander to get elected. They go to miami and tell you they love immigrants, they go to south carolina and they turn into xenophobes and nationalists. It’s all absurd
the voters will decide on november what type of government they want
My point is that they will be voting for style and not substance as you just said. You earlier point made it sound like they were voting for substance. I think most Americans would vote against a health system in which they had to wait months to have routine surgeries. But they’d vote for a utopian vision of “free” healthcare for everyone.
the voters will decide on november what type of government they want
My point is that they will be voting for style and not substance as you just said. You earlier point made it sound like they were voting for substance. I think most Americans would vote against a health system in which they had to wait months to have routine surgeries. But they’d vote for a utopian vision of “free” healthcare for everyone.
Henry, i tell you what i would vote for. A healthcare system, that when you turn 55 and have a pre-existting condition does not turn you down, i would vote for a health care system that focus on cutting downs costs and is not mandated and is affordable, i don’t want a hand out, i want choice.
that when you turn 55 and have a pre-existting condition
We have one exactly like that but it kicks in at 65. Maybe you’ve heard of it. Medicare.
Our big problem is that we don’t have enough money to pay for it already without opening it up to even more people.
We don’t have enough workers replacing the boomers that will start to turn 65 in 2010.
that when you turn 55 and have a pre-existting condition
We have one exactly like that but it kicks in at 65. Maybe you’ve heard of it. Medicare.
Our big problem is that we don’t have enough money to pay for it already without opening it up to even more people.
We don’t have enough workers replacing the boomers that will start to turn 65 in 2010.
Henry, medicare is of no help to me when i’m 55 and self employed. Try to get insurance, yeah they laugh you off. 65 – 55 = 10 years, man that’s a long time! Not enough money to pay and yet we can build bridges to nowhere.
Look, I’m not denying that there is a problem. But the solutions the Dems propose are worse than the problem.
What if you could get into a big risk pool like employees do and buy a catastrophic health policy for the biggies and could have a tax deductible health savings account for the usual stuff like check-ups and tests?
If you made your car insurer cover your oil changes and tire rotations your premiums would be much higher. There’s no such thing as free healthcare or free anything for that matter.
Look, I’m not denying that there is a problem. But the solutions the Dems propose are worse than the problem.
What if you could get into a big risk pool like employees do and buy a catastrophic health policy for the biggies and could have a tax deductible health savings account for the usual stuff like check-ups and tests?
If you made your car insurer cover your oil changes and tire rotations your premiums would be much higher. There’s no such thing as free healthcare or free anything for that matter.
Henry, car insurance oil changes WTF?? I don’t want free healthcare, i’ll pay for it, i want the politicians to make it affordable.
i gave you a scenario that cold be affordable without government intervention other than to create a national risk pool for insurers to write policies fo catastrophic illnesses. you’d pay all the routine maintenance with cash.
i gave you a scenario that cold be affordable without government intervention other than to create a national risk pool for insurers to write policies fo catastrophic illnesses. you’d pay all the routine maintenance with cash.
I don’t want my personal healthcare in the hands of beaurecrats, I don’t see it right to ask a beaurecrat permission to get the care I need. We should fix the few things that are wrong with the system and keep everything else, ’cause it’s pretty damned good.
Somebody above said “we need to move quick to talk to Obama….” or something to that effect. No hurry dude, Obama will refer you to Greg Craig, remember him? yeah Elian’s lawyer paid by Bill or by cagastro or by AMD, he is Obama’s Cuba expert (most likely the one who channels cagastro’ donations) so go ahead bubba talk to Obama, sure he is a reasonable guy.