Below the fold is a visual representation of party affiliation percentages in Florida’s 21st congressional district (presently represented by Lincoln Diaz-Balart – R) since 2002 (when the current districts were drawn up and first used).
As you can see there has been a decline in Republican percentages in the last six years. But the big shift was not in the last two, as the Herald claimed in a recent article, but rather in the previous four.
Another observation is that the big winner has not been the Democratic party but instead NPA (No party affiliation).
Of course people don’t vote strictly down party lines and voter registration drives in this presidential election year could change these percentages slightly. As usual this election is going to depend on turnout and which way independent voters go. I’m sure there are people reading this that think that independent mean Democrat. I wouldn’t be so sure.