No, I’m not trying to be John Dorschner or Nostradamus, but a recent CNN poll indicates that the split in the Democrat Party could indeed favor John McCain come November.
New polls show many Democratic voters could swing their support to Sen. John McCain in the general election if their candidate isn’t nominated.
The most recent CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll, taken March 14-16, shows the percentage of Sen. Barack Obama supporters who said they’d be dissatisfied or upset if Sen. Hillary Clinton wins the nomination has gone up — from 26 percent in January, just after Clinton won the New Hampshire primary, to 41 percent now.
The poll suggests if Obama wins, a majority of Clinton supporters — 51 percent — would be dissatisfied or upset. The number was 35 percent in January.
A Gallup poll conducted earlier this month and illustrated in the above article painted a more specific and even rosier picture for McCain.
According to a Gallup Poll taken March 7-22, about one in five Obama supporters — or 19 percent — said they will vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee.
If Obama’s the nominee, more than one in four Clinton supporters — or 28 percent — said they’d vote for McCain.
If those numbers are even close to being true in November, you can start practicing saying “President McCain”.
I don’t know how much this has to do with the Wright issue, although it has to be at least somewhat of a factor. “Somewhat” because I heard the results of yet another poll which indicated that Obama still has something like a 60 percent favorable rating, higher than either Clinton or McCain.
As Henry has noted many times before, it’s still early and lots can change. But so far, those who asserted that McCain is more “electable” are looking pretty good.